\begin{table}
\caption{Logistic regression results for ethnic conflict (1992-2020)}
\begin{center}
\scalebox{0.7}{
\begin{tabular}{l c c c c c c c c}
\hline
 & \multicolumn{4}{c}{DV: Conflict Onset} & \multicolumn{4}{c}{DV: Conflict Prevalence} \\
\cline{2-5} \cline{6-9}
 & M1:Best & M2:Worst & M3:Median & M4:Nearest & M5:Best & M6:Worst & M7:Median & M8:Nearest \\
\hline
Transnational inequality   & $-0.068$       & $0.029$        & $-0.086$       & $-0.058$       & $-0.120^{**}$  & $-0.015$       & $-0.149^{**}$  & $-0.157^{**}$  \\
                           & $(0.065)$      & $(0.071)$      & $(0.078)$      & $(0.080)$      & $(0.051)$      & $(0.055)$      & $(0.062)$      & $(0.064)$      \\
TEK status excluded        & $0.225$        & $0.064$        & $0.482$        & $0.186$        & $-0.315^{*}$   & $-0.532^{***}$ & $-0.217$       & $0.036$        \\
                           & $(0.238)$      & $(0.257)$      & $(0.235)$      & $(0.253)$      & $(0.177)$      & $(0.225)$      & $(0.175)$      & $(0.220)$      \\
Horizontal inequality      & $-0.108$       & $-0.154$       & $-0.111$       & $-0.104$       & $-0.051$       & $-0.161$       & $-0.080$       & $-0.079$       \\
                           & $(0.143)$      & $(0.174)$      & $(0.146)$      & $(0.147)$      & $(0.140)$      & $(0.125)$      & $(0.129)$      & $(0.139)$      \\
Status excluded            & $0.775^{**}$   & $0.765^{**}$   & $0.743^{*}$    & $0.738^{*}$    & $0.724^{***}$  & $0.797^{***}$  & $0.727^{***}$  & $0.637^{***}$  \\
                           & $(0.287)$      & $(0.283)$      & $(0.284)$      & $(0.298)$      & $(0.228)$      & $(0.229)$      & $(0.231)$      & $(0.237)$      \\
Previous rebellions        & $1.290^{***}$  & $1.383^{***}$  & $1.288^{***}$  & $1.366^{***}$  & $1.550^{***}$  & $1.511^{***}$  & $1.532^{***}$  & $1.589^{***}$  \\
                           & $(0.347)$      & $(0.333)$      & $(0.339)$      & $(0.335)$      & $(0.333)$      & $(0.326)$      & $(0.333)$      & $(0.325)$      \\
Status downgraded          & $1.401^{**}$   & $1.425^{**}$   & $1.439^{**}$   & $1.459^{**}$   & $0.999^{*}$    & $0.968^{*}$    & $1.008^{**}$   & $1.112^{**}$   \\
                           & $(0.457)$      & $(0.473)$      & $(0.463)$      & $(0.463)$      & $(0.550)$      & $(0.536)$      & $(0.544)$      & $(0.547)$      \\
Ln(Country GDP per capita) & $-0.173$       & $-0.216$       & $-0.151$       & $-0.190$       & $-0.017$       & $-0.076$       & $0.018$        & $-0.003$       \\
                           & $(0.137)$      & $(0.120)$      & $(0.141)$      & $(0.132)$      & $(0.095)$      & $(0.104)$      & $(0.107)$      & $(0.098)$      \\
Ln(Country population)     & $0.133$        & $0.091$        & $0.130$        & $0.110$        & $0.295^{***}$  & $0.310^{***}$  & $0.318^{***}$  & $0.282^{***}$  \\
                           & $(0.075)$      & $(0.072)$      & $(0.073)$      & $(0.076)$      & $(0.075)$      & $(0.067)$      & $(0.073)$      & $(0.072)$      \\
Peace year                 & $-0.324^{***}$ & $-0.324^{***}$ & $-0.322^{***}$ & $-0.326^{***}$ & $-0.661^{***}$ & $-0.663^{***}$ & $-0.660^{***}$ & $-0.664^{***}$ \\
                           & $(0.055)$      & $(0.055)$      & $(0.055)$      & $(0.056)$      & $(0.061)$      & $(0.061)$      & $(0.061)$      & $(0.062)$      \\
Peace year $^2$            & $0.010^{***}$  & $0.010^{***}$  & $0.010^{***}$  & $0.010^{***}$  & $0.023^{***}$  & $0.023^{***}$  & $0.023^{***}$  & $0.023^{***}$  \\
                           & $(0.002)$      & $(0.002)$      & $(0.002)$      & $(0.002)$      & $(0.003)$      & $(0.003)$      & $(0.003)$      & $(0.003)$      \\
Peace year $^2$            & $-0.000^{***}$ & $-0.000^{***}$ & $-0.000^{***}$ & $-0.000^{***}$ & $-0.000^{***}$ & $-0.000^{***}$ & $-0.000^{***}$ & $-0.000^{***}$ \\
                           & $(0.000)$      & $(0.000)$      & $(0.000)$      & $(0.000)$      & $(0.000)$      & $(0.000)$      & $(0.000)$      & $(0.000)$      \\
Intercept                  & $-4.494^{*}$   & $-3.387$       & $-4.738^{*}$   & $-3.897^{*}$   & $-6.971^{***}$ & $-6.546^{***}$ & $-7.636^{***}$ & $-6.895^{***}$ \\
                           & $(1.638)$      & $(1.421)$      & $(1.676)$      & $(1.587)$      & $(1.685)$      & $(1.597)$      & $(1.757)$      & $(1.569)$      \\
\hline
AIC                        & $650.089$      & $651.641$      & $647.412$      & $650.957$      & $1291.200$     & $1289.399$     & $1292.600$     & $1293.672$     \\
BIC                        & $739.675$      & $741.227$      & $736.998$      & $740.543$      & $1381.693$     & $1379.892$     & $1383.093$     & $1384.164$     \\
Log Likelihood             & $-312.045$     & $-312.821$     & $-310.706$     & $-312.479$     & $-632.600$     & $-631.700$     & $-633.300$     & $-633.836$     \\
Deviance                   & $624.089$      & $625.641$      & $621.412$      & $624.957$      & $1265.200$     & $1263.399$     & $1266.600$     & $1267.672$     \\
Num. obs.                  & $7268$         & $7268$         & $7268$         & $7268$         & $7793$         & $7793$         & $7793$         & $7793$         \\
\hline
\multicolumn{9}{l}{\scriptsize{$^{***}p<0.001$; $^{**}p<0.01$; $^{*}p<0.05$}. Standard errors are clustered by groups. TEK = trans-border ethnic kin.}
\end{tabular}
}
\label{tab:tab1}
\end{center}
\end{table}
